SAN DIEGO, CALIF. – Video Game Industry analyst firm DFC Intelligence has issued a new brief with forecasts for the Microsoft Xbox One, including detailed forecasts for the upcoming Xbox One X game system (formerly known as Project Scorpio) scheduled to launch in November of this year. Current forecasts for the Xbox One are to obtain cumulative hardware unit sales of 63 million by the end of 2021. Of that total, 17 million units are forecasted to be Xbox One X systems.
DFC Intelligence also released its latest global game industry forecasts. With new hardware systems from Nintendo, Microsoft and Sony along with continued growth of mobile and PC games, the video game industry is expected to reach record sales of $102 billion, up 8% over 2016 that represents a significant milestone for the game industry.
However, even with major industry growth, the new forecasts represent a slight downgrade of previous forecasts for the Xbox One that has not been meeting expectations in recent years. “Xbox One X is an expensive system designed to appeal to a fairly narrow demographic of gamers who want high quality graphics but do not want to spend money on a high-end PC,” said DFC analyst David Cole. “The challenge is that is a fairly small addressable market, even as sales of 4k television sets start to soar. Both the Nintendo Switch or Sony PlayStation 4 offer a very strong value proposition that consumers seem to be flocking to”
The 40-page brief looks in detail at Microsoft’s history in the game industry, including efforts for Windows PC operating systems. There is also a look at upcoming titles for the Xbox One system. DFC has identified 130 titles to be released for the platform from now to 2018. Of those titles, 25 are exclusive to the Xbox One console, although most will be available for the PC as well.
While the number of titles sounds impressive, DFC believes it will not be enough to drive major sales for the Xbox One X. “Many of the exclusives are fairly minor indie titles that will probably not take advantage of the enhanced graphics features of the system,” said Cole. “Furthermore, the leap from 1080 to 4k resolution is simply not as revolutionary as the previous movement from standard definition to high definition.
DFC is noted for its conservative forecasts for new products which are updated every few months based on changing market conditions. As part of its forecasting service, DFC recently launched its games outlook service. This service tracks over 250 of the biggest upcoming games for console and PC platforms.
The recently updated video game industry forecasts are part of DFC’s regularly forecasting service and can also be purchased separately by platform, country or region. The new brief on the Microsoft Xbox One is available as part of the forecasting service or separately. An essential part of the brief is detailed forecast for the Xbox One X including estimates for digital and physical software that takes advantages of the enhanced power of the new system. The new forecasts also have breakouts for PlayStation 4 Pro, Nintendo Switch, PC games and games on iOS and Android devices.
About DFC Intelligence
DFC Intelligence (www.dfcint.com) is a strategic market research and consulting firm focused on interactive entertainment and the emerging video game, online game, interactive entertainment and portable game markets. Since 1995, DFC has published in-depth strategic market reports and subscription-based research services. DFC research is used by more than 300 leading companies in over 30 countries worldwide.
DFC Intelligence game industry forecasts are updated throughout the year to account for current trends and new products. The forecasts are available in multiple forecasts that include pdf reports, Excel spreadsheets and online access. Clients can purchase forecasts on a one off or on an ongoing basis. It is also possible to custom pull specific forecasts on a given range. For information on this package contact DFC at email@example.com.